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Ukraine

EU Candidate

Latest intelligence on EU affairs, policy developments, and political dynamics.

Europe Finally Names Its Team. The Hard Part Starts Monday.
Geopolitics

Europe Finally Names Its Team. The Hard Part Starts Monday.

EU leaders agreed in Dublin on Friday that Europe will be represented in Ukraine peace talks by the EU institutions plus France, Germany, Italy, Poland and the UK, with national security advisers doing the negotiating. It ends a week of open disagreement about who speaks for Europe. It settles very little about what Europe will say.

Brussels Is Writing Its 22nd Russia Package, and This Time the Trigger Is Arson and Drones
Geopolitics

Brussels Is Writing Its 22nd Russia Package, and This Time the Trigger Is Arson and Drones

Ambassadors agreed on Wednesday to add 145 individuals and entities to the Russia sanctions list, to be signed off by foreign ministers on 16 November. A second package of more than a hundred measures targeting banks, energy firms and shadow-fleet tankers is being drafted for December, and EU officials are now linking it openly to sabotage and drone incursions on European soil.

Europe Has a Seat at the Table Now. It Still Cannot Agree Who Sits In It
Geopolitics

Europe Has a Seat at the Table Now. It Still Cannot Agree Who Sits In It

Washington told the Europeans on Thursday that they will be in the room for the next round of Ukraine talks. Within hours, the leaders gathered in Dublin had demonstrated why that concession may be worth less than it looks: Estonia wants Costa and Kallas, France and Germany want the E3, and several prime ministers want to go themselves.

The EU Signs Off Its Last Normal Budget: €199.7 Billion, and a Defence Line of €3.1 Billion
EU Institutions

The EU Signs Off Its Last Normal Budget: €199.7 Billion, and a Defence Line of €3.1 Billion

Council and Parliament closed the 2027 budget on Tuesday night: €199.71 billion in commitments, €211.5 billion in payments, €4 billion in grants for Ukraine and €3.08 billion for security and defence. It is the final annual budget of the 2021-2027 framework, and the numbers already read like the opening bid in the fight over the next one.

Tomorrow's EU Agenda: Dublin Summit Focuses on AI and Security — 13/11/2026
EU Institutions

Tomorrow's EU Agenda: Dublin Summit Focuses on AI and Security — 13/11/2026

EU leaders convene in Dublin for high-stakes talks on artificial intelligence competitiveness and the ongoing security situation in Ukraine.

Tomorrow's EU Agenda: Ukraine Security and Strategic Competitiveness — 12/11/2026
EU Institutions

Tomorrow's EU Agenda: Ukraine Security and Strategic Competitiveness — 12/11/2026

As Dublin hosts the 9th EPC Summit, the EU institutions focus on deepening sanctions against Russia and securing Europe's long-term industrial future.

A Russian Network Posed as Western Media During France's Riots. MAGA Accounts Got 17 Times the Reach
Geopolitics & Security

A Russian Network Posed as Western Media During France's Riots. MAGA Accounts Got 17 Times the Reach

An internal EU assessment says the Operation Overload network circulated videos impersonating Western outlets, claiming migrants had raped protesters and that attacks were imminent. A separate French assessment found the top ten pro-Russian posts drew 2.8 million views while the top ten MAGA-linked posts drew more than 49 million.

The EU Opens a Training Mission Office Inside Ukraine, and Extends the Mission to 2028
Defence & Security

The EU Opens a Training Mission Office Inside Ukraine, and Extends the Mission to 2028

The Council extended EUMAM Ukraine until 15 November 2028 with almost €300 million, and for the first time gave the mission a standing representation on Ukrainian territory. The training still happens in Poland and Germany. What changes is who decides the curriculum.

Merz Ties the EU's Next Seven-Year Budget to Ukraine, and Picks a Fight With Half the Council
EU Institutions

Merz Ties the EU's Next Seven-Year Budget to Ukraine, and Picks a Fight With Half the Council

The German chancellor has written to António Costa asking him to put Ukraine's 2027 financing gap on the agenda of an informal summit that was supposed to be about artificial intelligence. His argument: no collective commitment on the €45 billion, no agreement on the 2028-2034 budget. Four member states are already signalling they will not pay.

Von der Leyen Goes to the Black Sea, Where the War Has Already Arrived
Defense & Security

Von der Leyen Goes to the Black Sea, Where the War Has Already Arrived

The Commission president visits Bucharest on Monday and Varna on Tuesday to push a civilian Black Sea Maritime Security Hub, as Romania and Bulgaria absorb a wave of drone strikes on merchant shipping and Brussels tries to hold its line on Moldova and the next seven-year budget.

Le Pen Has a Second Target in Brussels: Kaja Kallas and the EU's Diplomatic Service
EU Institutions

Le Pen Has a Second Target in Brussels: Kaja Kallas and the EU's Diplomatic Service

Marine Le Pen wants to dismantle or sharply reduce the European External Action Service if she wins the 2027 French presidency, according to four National Rally officials. The front-runner's plan would turn the EU's 100-plus delegations and 5,200 staff into collateral damage in her fight with Ursula von der Leyen.

Days After the Blue Wave, G7 Allies Get Their First Look at Trump's America
Geopolitics & Security

Days After the Blue Wave, G7 Allies Get Their First Look at Trump's America

G7 foreign ministers meet in Paris on Monday and Tuesday, moved at short notice from Marseille for security reasons after weeks of French protests. It is Marco Rubio's first appearance before allies since the Democrats took both chambers of Congress, and the first chance for Europe to test whether a wounded president changes course on Ukraine.

Four Countries Told to Carry the Migrant Caseload, and Fifteen Warned They Are Next
EU Institutions

Four Countries Told to Carry the Migrant Caseload, and Fifteen Warned They Are Next

The Commission's second Annual Migration Management Cycle names Greece, Cyprus, Italy and Spain as under migratory pressure and eligible for the Solidarity Pool, puts fifteen member states at risk, and lists six facing a significant situation that can seek deductions. The 2027 pool's size is not public. The Council decides.

2,800 Troops, 11 Nations, No Americans: Europe Rehearses the Army It Would Send to Ukraine
Defense & Security

2,800 Troops, 11 Nations, No Americans: Europe Rehearses the Army It Would Send to Ukraine

Britain and France will lead KOALICJA 26.2 from 9 to 22 November, bringing 2,800 troops from 11 countries to Poland, France and Turkey to test how to move, protect and supply the Multinational Force-Ukraine. US troops will not take part. The drills begin the day before US, Russian and Ukrainian negotiators meet in Abu Dhabi.

Brussels Builds a Permanent Sanctions Machine, and Adds a Crypto Task Force
EU Institutions

Brussels Builds a Permanent Sanctions Machine, and Adds a Crypto Task Force

The Commission has created its first permanent sanctions office, covering the whole lifecycle from political design to enforcement, plus an informal task force on crypto sanctions. The announcement came as Brussels drafts a 22nd Russia package, after a rouble-pegged stablecoin moved more than $102 billion before sanctions strangled it.

Six Dead in Kraków: A Gunman, a Far-Right Ideology and a Square Full of Tourists
Security

Six Dead in Kraków: A Gunman, a Far-Right Ideology and a Square Full of Tourists

A 25-year-old Polish man drove into Kraków's main market square on Saturday afternoon and opened fire with an automatic weapon, killing six people including a British citizen and wounding 16. Three more bodies, likely family members, were found at his home. The interior minister says he held 'ultra-nationalistic' views. Poland begins two days of mourning.

Montenegro Closes Two More Chapters and Moves Within Reach of Finishing Accession This Year
Enlargement

Montenegro Closes Two More Chapters and Moves Within Reach of Finishing Accession This Year

At the 30th Accession Conference in Brussels on 6 November, Montenegro provisionally closed chapter 1 on free movement of goods and chapter 12 on food safety and veterinary policy. That leaves 23 of 33 chapters closed, and the Commission's enlargement report says negotiations could realistically conclude by the end of the year.

Irish Newsrooms Evacuated and Flights Diverted as Dublin Calls the Bomb Threats a Coordinated Campaign
Security

Irish Newsrooms Evacuated and Flights Diverted as Dublin Calls the Bomb Threats a Coordinated Campaign

A third wave of hoax bomb threats in a week forced the evacuation of newsrooms across Ireland and disrupted flights to and from Prague, Sofia and Rome, including an Aer Lingus jet escorted to a French airbase by fighter jets. Dublin said the campaign appeared coordinated, and the EU activated an aviation security information-sharing mechanism.

Kallas Tells Washington What Brussels Has Never Said Out Loud: 'We Will Not Implement It'
Geopolitics

Kallas Tells Washington What Brussels Has Never Said Out Loud: 'We Will Not Implement It'

Speaking in Warsaw alongside the Polish and Ukrainian foreign ministers, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said the EU will not implement any security agreement negotiated without it, that Putin has no veto over European security, and that concessions must fall on the aggressor. Washington is preparing a broader European security framework ahead of next week's Abu Dhabi talks.

Trump Meets Putin's Envoy, Skips Kyiv, and Describes a Deal Covering 'All of Europe'
Geopolitics

Trump Meets Putin's Envoy, Skips Kyiv, and Describes a Deal Covering 'All of Europe'

President Trump said on 5 November that he met privately with Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's special envoy, at the White House and that a 'big agreement' involving more than Ukraine, possibly all of Europe, was close. He did not meet the Ukrainian delegation visiting Washington the same day, and gave no details.

Meloni Tells Brussels It Is 'All Over the Place' on Ukraine and Demands One Voice
Geopolitics

Meloni Tells Brussels It Is 'All Over the Place' on Ukraine and Demands One Voice

In a letter to European Council President Antonio Costa, Giorgia Meloni said overlapping formats from Miami to Oslo are making Europe less credible and asked for EU unity on Ukraine to be added to next week's Dublin agenda. Costa replied that EU interests must be represented by its institutions, but no envoy has been named.

Brussels Writes a 2027 Agenda of Subtraction: 23 Initiatives, 10 of Them Deregulation
EU Institutions

Brussels Writes a 2027 Agenda of Subtraction: 23 Initiatives, 10 of Them Deregulation

The Commission adopted its 2027 work programme on 4 November under the title 'Standing up for one another', with 23 new initiatives of which 10 are simplification packages. It also confirmed the withdrawal of 18 proposals and the repeal of 14 laws, including the Green Claims Directive, while promising a European Corporation on Critical Raw Materials and revisions to the ETS and the electricity market rules.

Europe Gets a Congress It Did Not Vote For and Cannot Count On
Geopolitics & Security

Europe Gets a Congress It Did Not Vote For and Cannot Count On

Kaja Kallas was the first EU leader to respond to the Democratic sweep, hoping the new Congress will keep funding Ukraine and press Russia harder. In Brussels the hope is real and the leverage is not: tariffs, aid and peace talks are all still in Washington's hands.

Kyiv Loses Its Water: Russia's Grid Campaign Reaches the Point Where Cities Stop Functioning
Defense & Security

Kyiv Loses Its Water: Russia's Grid Campaign Reaches the Point Where Cities Stop Functioning

Residents of Kyiv went more than 24 hours without running water after the largest Russian strike on Ukraine's energy system this year. The country's water institute says it expects the situation to deteriorate further in winter.

Brussels Puts a Price on Peace: E3, Kyiv and Washington Draft Ukraine's Post-War Economy
Geopolitics & Security

Brussels Puts a Price on Peace: E3, Kyiv and Washington Draft Ukraine's Post-War Economy

The Commission convened Germany, France, the UK, Ukraine, the US, NATO and the World Bank on 4 November to work through scenarios for Ukraine's post-war economy. It is the first time the reconstruction track has been merged with the peace talks, days before Abu Dhabi.